01511cam a2200157 i 4500008004100000020001800041100002200059245006500081260003700146300001000183520105800193650002101251650002901272650002901301050002301330130917s2014    nyu      b    001 0 eng    a97806700256571 aGigerenzer, Gerd.10aRisk savvy :bhow to make good decisions /cGerd Gigerenzer.  aNew York:bPenguin Books,c2024.  bill.;  a"An eye-opening look at the ways we misjudge risk every day and a guide to making better decisions with our money, health, and personal lives   In the age of Big Data we often believe that our predictions about the future are better than ever before. But as risk expert Gerd Gigerenzer shows, the surprising truth is that in the real world, we often get better results by using simple rules and considering less information.  In Risk Savvy, Gigerenzer reveals that most of us, including doctors, lawyers, financial advisers, and elected officials, misunderstand statistics much more often than we think, leaving us not only misinformed, but vulnerable to exploitation. Yet there is hope. Anyone can learn to make better decisions for their health, finances, family, and business without needing to consult an expert or a super computer, and Gigerenzer shows us how.  Risk Savvy is an insightful and easy-to-understand remedy to our collective information overload and an essential guide to making smart, confident decisions in the face of uncertainty"-- 0aDecision making. 0aRisk-taking (Psychology) 7aPSYCHOLOGY / Statistics.00aBF 448b.G 54 2024